S&P 500
7,811.54
+1.15% this week
Nasdaq Composite
27,366.17
+0.64% this week
Dow
51,654.95
+0.93% this week
Russell 2000
2,806.98
−0.91% this week
VIX range
14.77–16.46
Friday mark 14.84
10-year yield
5.24%
−3.3 bp this week
What you need to know
• The S&P 500 gained 1.15%, but $AEHR lost 21.05%; calmer index volatility hid large stock-specific moves. • Services prices rose as consumer sentiment weakened; inflation risk survived the softer mood. • CPI arrives Wednesday, followed by PPI and retail sales Thursday; next week concentrates several sources of event risk.
The week in 5 points
- Large caps recovered: the S&P 500 rose 1.15% and the Dow gained 0.93%, while small caps slipped 0.91%.
- Leadership shifted: utilities led the sector ETFs, while technology finished last. The Nasdaq Composite gained 0.64%.
- Inflation stayed sticky: the services prices index reached 74.0, while Michigan’s year-ahead inflation expectation reached 4.7%.
- Rates eased slightly: the 10-year market yield fell 3.3 basis points, but remained above 5%.
- Company risk stayed large: four of the five biggest absolute watchlist moves were declines; next week brings inflation and bank earnings.
The rebound favoured utilities more than technology
The week of October 5–9 was positive for large-cap benchmarks, but uneven underneath. The S&P 500 ended at 7,811.54, while the Russell 2000 finished at 2,806.98. The Nasdaq-100 rose only 0.24%, separate from the Composite’s 0.64% gain.
Nine of the eleven sector ETFs gained. Utilities, staples and energy each rose more than 3.5%, while technology and industrials declined. That looks like a rotation toward steadier businesses; it does not prove investors abandoned growth.
| Sector ETF | Week | What stood out |
|---|---|---|
| $XLU · Utilities | +3.97% | Strongest of the eleven sector ETFs |
| $XLP · Staples | +3.60% | Consumer defensives participated |
| $XLE · Energy | +3.60% | Energy kept pace with staples |
| $XLK · Technology | −0.52% | Weakest sector ETF |
| $XLI · Industrials | −0.41% | The other declining sector ETF |
Services stayed busy while households felt the squeeze
September’s ISM services PMI was 54.9, down from 55.4 but still above the 50 threshold for expansion. The prices index rose to 74.0 from 72.6. Business activity held up, yet suppliers were charging more.
Michigan’s preliminary October sentiment fell to 46.3 from 48.1. Expected inflation over the next year increased to 4.7% from 4.6%; the long-run expectation rose to 3.5% from 3.4%. These are survey expectations, not measured inflation.
Initial jobless claims were 197,000, versus a revised 199,000; continuing claims increased by 17,000 to 1.716 million. August’s trade deficit widened to $105.6 billion from a revised $92.8 billion. Together, those releases describe mixed demand and labour conditions, rather than one clean economic signal.
Lower bond yields did not erase the inflation question
The 10-year market-yield series ended near 5.24%, down 3.3 basis points from last Friday. One basis point is 0.01 percentage point. The VIX’s weekly intraday range was 14.77–16.46, with a Friday vendor mark of 14.84.
Wednesday’s Fed minutes described September’s unanimous quarter-point hike to 3.75–4.00%. Most participants saw another increase as likely appropriate before year-end, depending on incoming data. The release explained an earlier decision; it was not a new rate announcement.
| Market | Friday snapshot | Vs Oct 2 vendor mark |
|---|---|---|
| WTI futures | $91.61/barrel | +0.55% |
| Gold futures | $4,220.30/ounce | +1.39% |
| US dollar index | 102.214 | +0.28% |
Growing sales still met pressure on profits
PepsiCo ($PEP) reported $25.274 billion in quarterly revenue, up 5.6%, and core earnings of $2.34 per share. It lowered full-year core constant-currency earnings growth guidance to 1–2%, from the low end of 4–6%. Stronger sales did not remove the pressure on its profit outlook.
Delta ($DAL) reported adjusted revenue of $17.6 billion and adjusted earnings of $1.72 per share. Adjusted fuel expense rose 62% year over year; full-year earnings guidance was $5.10–$5.60. These company-defined adjusted measures differ from GAAP results, so the labels matter.
Your watchlist this week
The five biggest absolute weekly moves across our 26-name watchlist follow. Verified news offers context; it does not establish why prices moved.
| Cashtag | Week % | Why / verified context |
|---|---|---|
| $AEHR | −21.05% | Oct 7: about $6m in Sonoma follow-on AI processor orders; results now scheduled Nov 2. |
| $SHOP | +12.85% | Oct 6: next quarterly results scheduled Nov 3; no proven cause for the weekly gain. |
| $ASTS | −12.81% | Oct 5: TELUS confirmed a satellite-to-phone integration test; no direct negative catalyst verified. |
| $AMKR | −12.32% | Oct 5: results scheduled Oct 26; no direct negative catalyst verified. |
| $INTC | −12.26% | Oct 6: results scheduled Oct 29; no direct negative catalyst verified. |
$AEHR’s release matters for calendar accuracy: this was an orders-and-scheduling week, not an earnings report. Its fiscal-year change puts the next results on November 2 after the close. A large price decline can coexist with positive order news.
For wheel sellers
A lower VIX describes the index’s expected volatility, not the risk of each stock. This week’s double-digit watchlist moves show why a cash-secured put’s premium cannot erase assignment losses. CPI, earnings dates and the cash needed to accept shares remain separate parts of the same risk review.
Next week
| Time ET | Event | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Tue Oct 13 · 07:00 / 07:30 / 08:00 | $JPM / $GS / $C results | Bank lending, margins and credit quality |
| Tue Oct 13 · 10:00 | $WFC earnings call; existing-home sales | Bank outlook and housing demand |
| Wed Oct 14 · 06:45 | $BAC results | Consumer credit and deposit costs |
| Wed Oct 14 · 08:30 | September CPI and real earnings | Consumer inflation and purchasing power |
| Wed Oct 14 · time unconfirmed | $ASML results; Fed Beige Book | Chip investment and regional conditions |
| Thu Oct 15 · 02:00 | $TSM earnings conference | Chip demand and manufacturing outlook |
| Thu Oct 15 · 08:30 | PPI, retail sales, claims, Empire and Philly Fed surveys | Prices, spending and jobs arrive together |
| Thu Oct 15 · 10:00 | Business inventories, August | Stocks of goods and demand balance |
| Fri Oct 16 · 08:30 / 09:15 | Import/export prices; industrial production | Imported inflation and factory output |
The next FOMC meeting is October 27–28. Fed speakers are scheduled October 13 (Waller), 14 (Bowman) and 15 (Warsh); ET times remain unconfirmed. Stock markets stay open Monday, October 12. No watchlist earnings next week were issuer-confirmed in this review; schedules can change.
Data note: equity and sector changes compare October 2 and 9 regular-session closes from delayed Yahoo data, excluding dividends. VIX and yield are vendor marks; the yield is not the Treasury par curve. Commodities are provisional; uncertain stock catalysts are flagged.
Sources
- [1]S&P 500 — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:37.801179+00:00 · Tier 3
- [2]Nasdaq Composite — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:37.801428+00:00 · Tier 3
- [3]Nasdaq 100 — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:37.801502+00:00 · Tier 3
- [4]Dow Jones Industrial Average — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:37.801590+00:00 · Tier 3
- [5]Russell 2000 — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.096545+00:00 · Tier 3
- [6]VIX — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.097075+00:00 · Tier 3
- [7]Cboe 10-year Treasury yield proxy — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.097212+00:00 · Tier 3
- [8]WTI crude continuous futures — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.100685+00:00 · Tier 3
- [9]Gold continuous futures — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.306813+00:00 · Tier 3
- [10]US Dollar Index — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.307087+00:00 · Tier 3
- [11]$XLB sector ETF — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.314394+00:00 · Tier 3
- [12]$XLC sector ETF — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.322154+00:00 · Tier 3
- [13]$XLE sector ETF — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.621796+00:00 · Tier 3
- [14]$XLF sector ETF — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.630333+00:00 · Tier 3
- [15]$XLI sector ETF — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.634421+00:00 · Tier 3
- [16]$XLK sector ETF — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.642802+00:00 · Tier 3
- [17]$XLP sector ETF — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.858755+00:00 · Tier 3
- [18]$XLRE sector ETF — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.865954+00:00 · Tier 3
- [19]$XLU sector ETF — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.889811+00:00 · Tier 3
- [20]$XLV sector ETF — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:38.942416+00:00 · Tier 3
- [21]$XLY sector ETF — daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:39.145371+00:00 · Tier 3
- [22]$AEHR daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:22.367431+00:00 · Tier 3
- [23]$AMKR daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:22.395117+00:00 · Tier 3
- [24]$ASTS daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:22.395760+00:00 · Tier 3
- [25]$INTC daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:22.681781+00:00 · Tier 3
- [26]$SHOP daily prices, October 2–9 — Yahoo Finance / exchange data · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:23.118111+00:00 · Tier 3
- [27]September 2026 ISM Services PMI Report — ISM · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:01:57Z · Tier 1
- [28]U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, August 2026 — Bureau of Economic Analysis · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:03Z · Tier 1
- [29]Minutes of the FOMC, September 15–16, 2026 — Federal Reserve / official release calendar · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:03:05Z · Tier 1
- [30]Federal Reserve Board Calendar: October 2026 — Federal Reserve / official release calendar · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:41Z · Tier 1
- [31]Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims, October 8, 2026 — US Department of Labor · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:03Z · Tier 1
- [32]University of Michigan: Preliminary Results for October 2026 — University of Michigan · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:20Z · Tier 1
- [33]BLS October 2026 Release Schedule — Official publisher · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:20Z · Tier 1
- [34]Census Economic Indicator Release Schedule: 2026 — Official publisher · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:03:05Z · Tier 1
- [35]New York Fed Economic Indicators Calendar: October 2026 — Official publisher · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:03:05Z · Tier 1
- [36]NAR Existing-Home Sales Release Schedule — Official publisher · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:04:28Z · Tier 1
- [37]NYSE Holidays and Trading Hours — Official publisher · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:02:54Z · Tier 1
- [38]Federal Reserve G.17 Release Dates — Official publisher · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:04:49Z · Tier 1
- [39]Aehr follow-on Sonoma production orders — Issuer investor relations / newsroom · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:07:25.225508+00:00 · Tier 1
- [40]Aehr FY2027 Q1 results scheduled November 2 — Issuer investor relations / newsroom · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:07:25.225508+00:00 · Tier 1
- [41]Shopify Q3 2026 results scheduled November 3 — Issuer investor relations / newsroom · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:07:25.225508+00:00 · Tier 1
- [42]TELUS and AST SpaceMobile first network integration test — Issuer investor relations / newsroom · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:07:25.225508+00:00 · Tier 1
- [43]Amkor Q3 2026 results scheduled October 26 — Issuer investor relations / newsroom · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:07:25.225508+00:00 · Tier 1
- [44]Intel Q3 2026 results scheduled October 29 — Issuer investor relations / newsroom · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:07:25.225508+00:00 · Tier 1
- [45]JPMorganChase Q3 2026 earnings call — Issuer investor relations / newsroom · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:07:25.225508+00:00 · Tier 1
- [46]Goldman Sachs 2026 earnings calendar — Issuer investor relations / newsroom · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:07:25.225508+00:00 · Tier 1
- [47]Citi Q3 2026 earnings call — Issuer investor relations / newsroom · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:07:25.225508+00:00 · Tier 1
- [48]Wells Fargo investor relations upcoming events — Issuer investor relations / newsroom · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:07:25.225508+00:00 · Tier 1
- [49]Bank of America Q3 2026 financial results date — Issuer investor relations / newsroom · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:07:25.225508+00:00 · Tier 1
- [50]ASML official upcoming quarterly results — Issuer investor relations / newsroom · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:07:25.225508+00:00 · Tier 1
- [51]TSMC Q3 2026 results schedule — Issuer investor relations / newsroom · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:07:25.225508+00:00 · Tier 1
- [52]$AEHR regular-session close, October 9 — Nasdaq · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:05:27.945368+00:00 · Tier 1
- [53]$SHOP regular-session close, October 9 — Nasdaq · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:05:27.945207+00:00 · Tier 1
- [54]$ASTS regular-session close, October 9 — Nasdaq · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:05:27.972360+00:00 · Tier 1
- [55]$AMKR regular-session close, October 9 — Nasdaq · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:05:27.945479+00:00 · Tier 1
- [56]$INTC regular-session close, October 9 — Nasdaq · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:05:27.945402+00:00 · Tier 1
- [57]PepsiCo third-quarter 2026 results and guidance — PepsiCo / SEC · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:10:32.649734+00:00 · Tier 1
- [58]Delta September-quarter 2026 results — Delta Air Lines · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:10:32.568250+00:00 · Tier 1
- [59]New York Stock Exchange photograph and license — Wikimedia Commons · Accessed 2026-10-09T21:03:10.844726+00:00 · Tier 1
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Options involve risk and are not suitable for every investor. Do your own research before trading.
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