September 4 Morning Read: Jobs day arrives after Waller’s hold signal
Futures were only slightly higher early Friday after Thursday’s rally. The August jobs report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, Waller outlined a hold-versus-hike branch into the mid-September FOMC, and $PL posted record Q2 revenue after the close.
YieldCove Desk
5 min read

S&P 500 (Sep 3)
7,747.71
+1.06%
Nasdaq Composite
26,584.06
+1.40%
S&P futures (early)
7,760.00
+0.07%
Nasdaq-100 futures
29,648.00
+0.42%
VIX (early Sep 4)
14.18
-0.98%
U.S. 10-year yield
4.754%
-0.8 bp
WTI crude
$90.74
-0.61%
August jobs print
08:30 ET
BLS schedule
TL;DR
U.S. equity futures were only modestly higher early Friday after Thursday’s broad rally, with the focus shifting to the August Employment Situation at 8:30 a.m. ET. Fed Governor Christopher Waller said on Thursday he is inclined to hold the policy rate if incoming inflation data keep cooling—and would consider a hike if August figures run hot—ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC. In the owner universe, $PL reported record Q2 revenue after the close, while Thursday’s cash session featured large moves in $HOOD, $BE, $TSLA and $ORCL.
Macro overnight
Thursday’s cash session left the major U.S. benchmarks higher: the S&P 500 closed at 7,747.71 (+1.06%), the Dow Jones Industrial Average at 53,686.11 (+1.18%), and the Nasdaq Composite at 26,584.06 (+1.40%), according to CNBC delayed index quotes stamped 2026-09-03.
In early Friday dealing around 4:00 a.m. ET, CNBC showed S&P 500 futures near 7,760.00 (+0.07%), Nasdaq-100 futures near 29,648.00 (+0.42%), and Dow futures near 53,719.00 (−0.05%). The VIX printed about 14.18 (−0.98%) shortly after 4:00 a.m. ET—still a calm volatility backdrop into the payroll release, though index futures were no longer extending Thursday’s full move.
Rates and the dollar were mixed rather than one-way. The U.S. 2-year yield was near 4.337%, the 10-year near 4.754%, and the 30-year near 5.234% on CNBC Treasury quotes early Friday. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index was around 99.09 (+0.18%), while EUR/USD hovered near 1.1618. WTI traded near $90.74 (−0.61%) and Brent near $95.06 (−0.48%); COMEX gold was about $4,529.20 (−0.24%).
The policy tape was set by Governor Waller’s September 3 Reuters interview. In the published text, Waller said that if disinflation continues in data due over the next two weeks he would be inclined to support holding the federal funds target at its current setting, while hot August inflation could make a rate hike appropriate at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. He also described real GDP growth as continuing at a solid pace, flagged AI-related investment as a genuine contributor to activity, and characterized the labor market as satisfactory with the July unemployment rate at 4.1%.
Jobs day baseline (July, already published)
Official BLS series still show July total nonfarm payroll employment at 158,858 (thousands, preliminary) versus 158,881 in June—a −23,000 change—and the unemployment rate at 4.1%. Friday’s release is the August Employment Situation, scheduled for 8:30 a.m. ET on the official BLS release calendar.
Your tickers
$PL (Planet Labs). After the close on September 3, Planet’s Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 reported Q2 FY2027 (quarter ended July 31, 2026) revenue of $116.1 million, up 58% year over year. GAAP net loss per share was ($0.03) and non-GAAP net income per share was $0.02; adjusted EBITDA was a $13.9 million profit versus $6.4 million a year earlier. Non-GAAP gross margin was 59%, recurring ACV was 98%, and remaining performance obligations were about $753.1 million. Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments ended the quarter at $865.4 million after roughly $120 million raised via an at-the-market program (average net sale price $31.95). Management guided Q3 revenue to about $101–$105 million (with an adjusted EBITDA loss of about ($6) to ($1) million) and full-year FY2027 revenue to about $430–$441 million, with adjusted EBITDA profit of about $3–$10 million. The release also cited a new $8 million NGA OTA award for Global Monitoring Service. In the regular Thursday session—before that after-close print—CNBC showed $PL closing at $18.35 (−8.20%).
$ORCL. Oracle remains on the near-term earnings calendar: market data pages continue to list results around September 10, 2026. On Thursday the stock closed at $154.04 (+5.69%) on CNBC.
$HOOD and $BE. Thursday’s strongest large moves among covered names included Robinhood at $124.72 (+16.57%) and Bloom Energy at $235.55 (+8.41%) (CNBC closes). Those prints matter for open wheel inventory even without a same-morning primary filing.
$TSLA. Tesla closed $376.37 (+5.42%) on Thursday. No new Tesla Form 8-K appeared in the latest SEC submissions pull overnight; treat retail-tape claims about product events as unverified unless a primary filing or issuer release confirms them.
$CRDO. Credo’s latest primary results package remains the September 1 8-K / September 2 10-Q cluster already covered earlier this week. CNBC showed $CRDO closing $164.17 (−0.64%) on Thursday—secondary tape, not a fresh results event.
Mega-cap complex. Thursday closes on CNBC included $AAPL $328.21 (+1.00%), $MSFT $510.12 (+2.68%), $NVDA $228.45 (+1.80%), $META $610.68 (+3.01%), $AMZN $258.90 (+1.54%) and $GOOGL $342.26 (+1.52%)—a broad risk-on session into the payroll print.
What to watch today
- 08:30 ET — August Employment Situation (BLS). Payrolls, unemployment rate, wages and hours. This is the day’s primary macro catalyst into the September FOMC window.
- Waller reaction function. Markets will map the jobs print against Waller’s September 3 hold-versus-hike branching language ahead of the September 15–16 meeting.
- $PL follow-through. Digest Q2 metrics, Q3/FY guides and the NGA award against Thursday’s pre-print close; use the issuer exhibit rather than secondary headlines for the numbers.
- $ORCL path into September 10. Positioning and implied-vol path into next week’s print matter more than overnight noise.
- Oil still above $90. WTI near $90.74 keeps energy as a residual inflation and risk-premium input even after the early Friday dip.
For wheel readers (education only)
A payroll morning often resets index and single-name implied vol quickly. Educationally, that is a reminder to separate verified closes and primary filings from opening prints, and to re-check collateral, assignment risk and earnings windows after the 8:30 data—not a recommendation to trade.
What we are not claiming
We are not forecasting the August jobs number, the September FOMC decision, or post-print direction for any ticker. Secondary overnight color on Tesla product scrutiny and index-rebalance chatter around Credo was not elevated to load-bearing claims without primary confirmation.
Sources
- [1]Speech by Governor Christopher J. Waller on the economic outlook — Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System · Accessed 2026-09-04 · Tier 1
- [2]Federal Reserve Board calendar — September 2026 — Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System · Accessed 2026-09-04 · Tier 1
- [3]Schedule of Releases for the Employment Situation — U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Accessed 2026-09-04 · Tier 1
- [4]BLS public API — CES0000000001 and LNS14000000 (July 2026) — U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · Accessed 2026-09-04 · Tier 1
- [5]Planet Labs PBC Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 — Q2 FY2027 results (Sept. 3, 2026) — U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission · Accessed 2026-09-04 · Tier 1
- [6]CNBC delayed quotes — S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow, VIX, Treasuries, FX, oil, gold, index futures — CNBC · Accessed 2026-09-04 · Tier 2
- [7]CNBC quote — S&P 500 Fut (Sep'26) @SP.1 — CNBC · Accessed 2026-09-04 · Tier 2
- [8]CNBC quote — NASDAQ 100 Fut (Sep'26) @ND.1 — CNBC · Accessed 2026-09-04 · Tier 2
- [9]CNBC equity closes — TSLA, ORCL, HOOD, BE, PL, CRDO and mega-cap peers (Sept. 3, 2026) — CNBC · Accessed 2026-09-04 · Tier 2
- [10]FOMC calendars — Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System · Accessed 2026-09-04 · Tier 1
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Options involve risk and are not suitable for every investor. Do your own research before trading.
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