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53 articles tagged #macro
Cheaper oil lifts futures, but Japan adds another rate hurdle
Falling oil and stronger equity futures extend the relief rally even as Japan tightens monetary policy. For premium sellers, calmer broad-market volatility must still be weighed against elevated bond yields and company-specific risks.
Futures rebound, but the Fed keeps the funding hurdle high
Equity futures are recovering as oil and volatility ease after the Fed’s rate increase. For premium sellers, the rebound does not erase higher financing costs or the distinction between cash yield and compensation for assignment risk.
Oil eases, but 5% Treasuries keep the Fed-day pressure on
A modest rebound in equity futures is running into stubbornly high bond yields before the Fed decision. For premium sellers, the distinction between temporary oil relief and lasting policy risk matters more than a greener opening screen.
Oil and a 5% Treasury yield squeeze the room for stocks
Oil’s renewed climb and a higher discount rate are pressing on equities before the Fed decision. For premium sellers, richer volatility now comes with a tougher test of downside exposure and collateral returns.
Oil’s new shock tests the AI trade before the Fed
Oil is rising while the AI growth story faces a new safety debate before the Fed decision. For premium sellers, richer compensation comes with inflation, spending and assignment risks—not an automatic bargain.
Oil above $100 raises the stakes for the inflation test
Stock futures are recovering, but oil above $100 and rising bond yields leave little room for an inflation surprise. For premium sellers, Oracle’s cloud growth offers company-level strength without removing the market’s rate risk.
Oil above $100 tests the rebound before inflation data
Oil stays expensive as inflation data and Oracle earnings approach. For option sellers, the question is whether firmer futures compensate for a day packed with rate and company risk.
Morning Read: oil nears $100 as Google expands its AI bet
Brent is near $100 while U.S. futures remain mixed. Google’s €13 billion Finland plan leads the company news ahead of the week’s inflation releases.
Morning Read: $99 Brent meets the post-holiday reopening
Oil rises as U.S. stock futures slip ahead of the post-holiday reopening. Bloom Energy has an index catalyst, while inflation releases and Oracle earnings approach.
September 4 Morning Read: Jobs day arrives after Waller’s hold signal
Futures were only slightly higher early Friday after Thursday’s rally. The August jobs report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, Waller outlined a hold-versus-hike branch into the mid-September FOMC, and $PL posted record Q2 revenue after the close.
September 3 Morning Read: $ORCL sets its earnings date
U.S. futures were slightly higher around 4:07 a.m. ET as WTI held at $90.44 and the VIX read 15.29. $ORCL confirmed a September 10 after-close earnings event.
September 2 Morning Read: Oil stays above $90 as $CRDO resets the bar
U.S. futures were nearly flat around 4:13 a.m. ET as WTI held at $90.16 and the VIX read 17.13. $CRDO reported $598.3 million of quarterly revenue and guided to $635–$645 million for the next quarter.
September 1 Morning Read: Futures dip as oil reaches $86.96
U.S. futures slipped as WTI reached $86.96 and the 10-year Treasury held near 4.75%. July labour and construction data arrive at 10:00 a.m. ET, with $CRDO earnings after the close.
August 31 Morning Read: Oil jumps 2.40% as rate fears return
October WTI rose 2.40% as U.S.-Iran strikes put the Strait of Hormuz back in focus. U.S. futures were mixed after Kevin Warsh kept attention on inflation, while SpaceX faced a Cursor supplier change.
Weekly recap: Nasdaq gains 0.85% while inflation keeps rates in focus
The Nasdaq rose 0.85% from August 21 to 28 as NVIDIA reported a $96.2B quarter and July PCE inflation held at 3.7%. The VIX fell to 14.43, but the 2-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.34%.
August 27 Morning Read: NVIDIA posts a $96.2B quarter
NVIDIA reported $96.2 billion of quarterly revenue and guided to $108.0 billion for fiscal Q3. U.S. futures are higher before July trade data, while AWS plans two million more NVIDIA GPUs.
August 26 Morning Read: Data and NVIDIA earnings set the agenda
U.S. futures are mixed before GDP, income, spending and durable-goods data. NVIDIA reports after the close, while Amazon dates Mechanical Turk’s shutdown.
August 25 Morning Read: Futures rise as Nebius closes $5.75B financing
U.S. futures edge higher before a 10:00 ET data cluster. Nebius closes about $5.75 billion of convertible financing while NVIDIA's Q2 FY27 event approaches.
August 24 Morning Read: Tech futures slide as Xiaomi unveils Xring O3
Nasdaq-100 futures fall 0.82% as Asia declines and oil weakens. Xiaomi's Xring O3 adds a fresh custom-chip milestone with a direct competitive read-through for Apple.
Weekly recap: Tech slides 3.51% as yields and VIX rise
The S&P 500 lost 1.43% and the Nasdaq 2.05% from August 14 to 21 as technology fell 3.51%, the VIX rose to 15.13 and the 10-year yield reached 4.74%. Health care gained 4.33%, while tracked stocks showed wide dispersion.
August 21 Morning Read: futures rise as ABAT reports record gross profit
U.S. futures gain 0.23%–0.47% after Thursday's decline. ABAT reports preliminary quarterly revenue of $8.2 million and flags an August 27 black-mass sales rule.
Morning Read: Futures steady as Nebius prices $5 billion financing
Nasdaq-100 futures add 0.29% while S&P 500 futures are nearly flat and Asian benchmarks rise. Nebius prices $5.0 billion of convertible notes and plans a separate $800 million debt-for-shares exchange.
Morning read: Asia tech slides, NVIDIA locks Ohio AI campus
U.S. stocks fell on August 18 as chips and AI names led losses, while Asia sold off overnight. NVIDIA’s SEC filing details a multi-year Ohio AI campus package with OpenAI as tenant.
Morning Read: Futures retreat as Rocket Lab joins Space Force program
Nasdaq-100 futures fall 0.92% as Japan and continental Europe weaken. Rocket Lab says it can now compete for task orders under NITE-STAR, whose $981 million ceiling is not a booked award, before a full 08:30 ET data slate.
Morning Read: Tech futures rise as Rocket Lab platforms reach orbit
Nasdaq-100 futures gain 0.56% as Asia and Europe advance. Rocket Lab says eight of 17 satellite platforms built for MDA Space are in orbit, contacted and generating power before the 08:30 ET Empire State survey.
Morning Read: Nubank clears $1 billion as futures hold steady
Nubank reports its first billion-dollar profit quarter as U.S. futures hold near flat. Customer growth and deposits rise, while later-stage delinquencies also increase.
Morning Read: Nebius scales as oil softens before PPI
Nebius posts 454% Q2 revenue growth as U.S. futures hold near flat before July PPI. T1 Energy also reports higher solar-module sales alongside funding and customer-concentration risks.
Morning Read: CoreWeave's record quarter meets CPI
CoreWeave more than doubles Q2 revenue as U.S. futures edge higher before July CPI. Its $104 billion backlog contrasts with heavy interest expense and a net loss.
Morning Read: Intel's $20B share sale meets firmer oil
Intel prices a $20 billion equity raise while oil gains 2.23% and U.S. index futures hold near flat. Rocket Lab, AST SpaceMobile and CoreWeave also bring verified updates.
Morning Read: Nikkei jumps as ABCL trial results approach
Japanese stocks led a firmer Asian session while U.S. equity futures edged higher into a light Monday data calendar. AbCellera is due to release Phase 2 ABCL635 results before the U.S. open.
Morning Read: Mitek growth meets U.S. jobs day
Mitek raises its full-year outlook after faster fiscal-Q3 SaaS growth, while calm U.S. futures await the 08:30 ET July employment report.
Morning Read: ARRAY’s $2.5B orderbook meets mixed markets
ARRAY reports a record $2.5 billion orderbook as U.S. futures split and Asian markets diverge. Today’s 08:30 ET productivity release is the main verified macro checkpoint.
Morning Read: AMD’s $11.5B quarter meets a firmer global tape
AMD reports record Q2 revenue and 107% Data Center growth as U.S. futures edge higher and Japan’s Nikkei rises 3.66%.
Morning Read: Palantir lifts 2026 outlook as tech futures lead
Palantir reports 93% revenue growth and raises its 2026 outlook as Nasdaq-100 futures rise 0.61% before U.S. trade and JOLTS data.
Morning Read: WTI falls 6% after OPEC+ sets September supply adjustment
WTI trades at $79.61 after OPEC+ set a 188,000-barrel-a-day September adjustment. U.S. futures rise, while PLTR reports after the close.
Morning Read: tech futures rise as Apple and Amazon reset the tape
Nasdaq-100 futures gain 1.18% as WTI falls to $82.14. AAPL and AMZN report, while the Q2 Employment Cost Index is due at 08:30 ET.
Morning Read: Fed hold meets big-tech earnings and fresh data
Futures edge higher after the Fed held 3.5–3.75%. MSFT, META and HOOD report, while Q2 GDP, June income and spending, and Q2 labour costs are due at 08:30 ET.
Morning Read: Fed decision day meets an oil spike
U.S. futures are mixed and WTI is up 3.56% as the Fed’s July 28–29 meeting ends. SOFI reports pre-market; MSFT, META and HOOD are on the after-hours calendar.
Chip rout hits Asia as Amkor reports record Q2 ahead of Fed meeting
Nasdaq futures lagged and Asian chip shares sold off before Tuesday’s U.S. open, even as oil extended its retreat. Amkor’s new filing showed record second-quarter sales, while the Federal Reserve begins a two-day meeting and U.S. consumer confidence is due at 10:00 a.m. ET.
Oil falls toward $91 as tech futures lag before Amkor earnings
Brent’s retreat eased one inflation pressure on Monday, but U.S. futures were split by 4:00 a.m. ET and Asian trading finished unevenly. Amkor reports after the July 27 close, while durable-goods data and the July 28–29 Federal Reserve meeting frame the day.
July 20 morning read: oil clears $90 as AI earnings raise the stakes
On Monday, Brent traded at $90.18 as Gulf attacks tightened the Strait of Hormuz backdrop. Alphabet, Tesla and Intel report this week while the VIX began at 18.77.
Morning read: chip rout spreads as oil climbs
A global semiconductor selloff reached Wall Street while renewed Middle East tension lifted oil and volatility. June housing starts rebounded sharply, but weaker permits left a mixed signal for growth and rates.
Weekly recap: tech tumbles as energy leads and VIX climbs
The Nasdaq fell 2.90% from July 10 to July 17 while energy gained 4.72% and technology lost 5.49%. Cooler CPI and PPI, firmer import prices and a VIX close at 18.77 left a mixed setup ahead of GOOGL, TSLA, INTC and NOK earnings.
TSMC’s record quarter meets a broad Asian chip sell-off
Asian chip shares fell even after TSMC posted 77% profit growth and raised capital spending. U.S. retail sales and jobless claims are the next 8:30 a.m. ET test.
Oil shock tests softer inflation as ASML raises its outlook
Asian stocks rallied after cooler U.S. inflation, but Brent near $85.80 and renewed Middle East tension kept Europe cautious. ASML's stronger quarter and Intel's High-NA milestone give the chip complex a concrete counterweight before the 8:30 a.m. ET producer-price release.
Cooling CPI meets a fresh oil shock in the July 14 morning read
June inflation cooled sharply just as a renewed Strait of Hormuz shock lifted crude, leaving markets to weigh a friendlier rate signal against a fresh energy risk. This morning read maps the global handoff, the U.S. opening reaction and the next dated earnings for tracked names.
Fed minutes replace easing bias with a two-way rate map
June’s Fed minutes show unanimous support for holding rates, while policymakers debated both eventual easing and renewed firming. For premium sellers, the message is a two-way map: collateral yield, duration exposure and assignment risk require separate checks.
A louder long end challenges calm-volatility premium math
The July 7 Treasury curve pushed long yields higher while VIX closed at 16.13. For premium sellers, the payoff is cleaner collateral and duration framing before the Fed minutes release at 2:00 p.m. ET.
The trade gap snaps wider, and tariff-sensitive sectors matter again
The May goods-and-services deficit widened sharply after exports fell and imports rose. For premium sellers, the payoff is a clearer map of tariff, currency and margin exposure before choosing strikes in globally exposed names.
July 2026 inflation calendar: CPI July 14, PPI July 15 and import prices July 17
BLS schedules the June 2026 CPI and real earnings releases for July 14 at 8:30 a.m. ET, PPI for July 15 at 8:30 a.m. ET, and import/export price indexes for July 17 at 8:30 a.m. ET. The cluster gives premium sellers a dated calendar-risk map rather than a direction call.
July 6 close: VIX at 15.57 while Treasury yields frame collateral returns
Cboe’s VIX history shows a 15.57 close for July 6, down 0.24 point from July 3. Treasury’s daily curve lists the 2-year yield at 4.13% and the 10-year at 4.48% for July 6, 2026.
July 7, 2026 trade-data watch: 8:30 a.m. ET release meets a low-VIX tape
BEA’s schedule lists U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services for May 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET on July 7, 2026. Cboe’s VIX history shows a 15.57 close on July 6, keeping event risk and lower index volatility in the same wheel-strategy frame.
July 2026 Fed calendar: minutes, Beige Book and PCE keep rates in focus
The Federal Reserve’s July 2026 calendar lists FOMC minutes on July 8, the Beige Book on July 15 and the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. May PCE inflation was 4.1% year over year, with core PCE at 3.4%, according to BEA.
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